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Jen147
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Quote Jen147 Replybullet Posted: May 02 2013 at 8:00pm
WHO: At 20% mortality, H7N9 bird flu is a 'serious threat'
 
May 2, 2013
 
With 26 deaths attributed to the H7N9 bird flu outbreak in China and a known mortality rate of 20 percent, scientists are expressing their concerns on the seriousness of this virus.
The known death toll from the H7N9 bird flu virus has reached 26, and China's Xinhua news agency reported that the total infected has reached 127 people, according to a Forbes report.
While 26 people are known to have recovered from their exposure to the deadly virus, the outbreak is delivering roughly a 20 percent death rate.
There remain no known human-to-human transmissions of the H7N9 influenza, and the Chinese government is pressuring local poultry markets - as the virus appears to be expressing an ease of transmission from live poultry to humans.
The World Health Organization considers the H7N9 virus a "serious threat" and is taking steps to prepare for the possibility of a global pandemic.
"The cases are going up daily – about 20% have died, 20% have recovered and the rest are still sick," Dr. John McCauley, director of the WHO Collaborating Centre for Influenza at the MRC National Institute for Medical Research told The Guardian. "The WHO considers this a serious threat. We're on an alert and we're developing diagnostics and vaccines specifically against the virus."
H7N9 is a particularly elusive virus, as it does not cause visible symptoms in poultry stocks and spreads through poultry populations without detection.
Virologists are concerned about the quick spread of the known cases, and they note that there are likely more mild distributions that are not being reported. The longer the virus remains in circulation among human populations, the greater are the chances for it to evolve into a strain that is readily transmitted from person to person.
 
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Quote Jen147 Replybullet Posted: May 02 2013 at 8:06pm
China H7N9 strain bird flu toll reaches 27
 
Thu May 2, 2013
 
The death toll from the H7N9 strain of bird flu has climbed to 27 as a patient infected with the virus lost his life in China’s central province of Hunan, health officials said.


The 55-year-old man, whose surname was given as Jiao, died on Wednesday after medical treatment failed to save him, Xinhua reported on Thursday.

A visiting team from the World Health Organization (WHO), which wrapped up a week-long visit to China on April 24, has said there is no evidence of human-to-human transmission, but warned H7N9 is "one of the most lethal" influenza viruses seen so far.

More than 120 people in China have been infected by the H7N9 avian influenza, with 27 deaths. China officially confirmed the occurrence of human infection with the new bird flu virus on March 31.

The H7N9 bird flu virus is distinct from the H5N1 virus. Since 2003, the H5N1 strain has caused more than 360 confirmed human deaths and tens of millions of birds have died from the virus.

Medical experts worry about the possibility of the H7N9 virus mutating into a form easily transmissible between humans.

Chinese health authorities have confirmed the so-called "family clusters", where members of a single family have contracted the virus.
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Quote Jen147 Replybullet Posted: May 03 2013 at 5:18am
'Appalling irresponsibility': Senior scientists attack Chinese researchers for creating new strains of influenza virus in veterinary laboratory
 
Experts warn of danger that the new viral strains created by mixing bird-flu virus with human influenza could escape from the laboratory to cause a global pandemic killing millions of people.
 
Thursday 02 May 2013
 

Senior scientists have criticised the “appalling irresponsibility” of researchers in China who have deliberately created new strains of influenza virus in a veterinary laboratory.

They warned there is a danger that the new viral strains created by mixing bird-flu virus with human influenza could escape from the laboratory to cause a global pandemic killing millions of people.

Lord May of Oxford, a former government chief scientist and past president of the Royal Society, denounced the study published today in the journal Science as doing nothing to further the understanding and prevention of flu pandemics.

“They claim they are doing this to help develop vaccines and such like. In fact the real reason is that they are driven by blind ambition with no common sense whatsoever,” Lord May told The Independent.

“The record of containment in labs like this is not reassuring. They are taking it upon themselves to create human-to-human transmission of very dangerous viruses. It’s appallingly irresponsible,” he said.

The controversial study into viral mixing was carried out by a team led by Professor Hualan Chen, director of China’s National Avian Influenza Reference Laboratory at Harbin Veterinary Research Institute.

Professor Chen and her colleagues deliberately mixed the H5N1 bird-flu virus, which is highly lethal but not easily transmitted between people, with a 2009 strain of H1N1 flu virus, which is very infectious to humans.

When flu viruses come together by infecting the same cell they can swap genetic material and produce “hybrids” through the re-assortment of genes. The researchers were trying to emulate what happens in nature when animals such as pigs are co-infected with two different strains of virus, Professor Chen said.

“The studies demonstrated that H5N1 viruses have the potential to acquire mammalian transmissibility by re-assortment with the human influenza viruses,” Professor Chen said in an email.

“This tells us that high attention should be paid to monitor the emergence of such mammalian-transmissible virus in nature to prevent a possible pandemic caused by H5N1 virus,” she said.

“It is difficult to say how easy this will happen, but since the H5N1 and 2009/H1N1 viruses are widely existing in nature, they may have a chance to re-assort,” she added.

The study, which was carried out in a laboratory with the second highest security level to prevent accidental escape, resulted in 127 different viral hybrids between H5N1 and H1N1, five of which were able to pass by airborne transmission between laboratory guinea pigs.

Professor Simon Wain-Hobson, an eminent virologist at the Pasteur Institute in Paris, said it is very likely that some or all of these hybrids could pass easily between humans and possess some or all of the highly lethal characteristics of H5N1 bird-flu.

“Nobody can extrapolate to humans except to conclude that the five viruses would probably transmit reasonable well between humans,” Professor Wain-Hobson said.

“We don’t know the pathogenicity [lethality] in man and hopefully we will never know. But if the case fatality rate was between 0.1 and 20 per cent, and a pandemic affected 500 million people, you could estimate anything between 500,000 and 100 million deaths,” he said.

“It’s a fabulous piece of virology by the Chinese group and it’s very impressive, but they haven’t been thinking clearly about what they are doing. It’s very worrying,” Professor Wain-Hobson said.

“The virological basis of this work is not strong. It is of no use for vaccine development and the benefit in terms of surveillance for new flu viruses is oversold,” he added.

An increasing number of scientists outside the influenza field have expressed concern over attempts to deliberately increase the human transmissibility of the H5N1 bird-flu virus. This is done by mutating the virus so that it can pass by airborne droplets between laboratory ferrets, the standard “animal model” of human influenza.

Two previous studies, by Ron Fouchier of Erasmus Medical Centre in Rotterdam and Yoshihiro Kawaoka of the University of Wisconsin, Madison, caused uproar in 2011 when it emerged that they had created airborne versions of H5N1 that could be passed between ferrets.

The criticism led to researchers to impose a voluntary moratorium on their H5N1 research, banning transmission studies using ferrets. However they decided to lift the ban earlier this year, arguing that they have now consulted widely with health organisations and the public over safety concerns.

However, other scientists have criticised the decision to lift the moratorium.

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Quote Jen147 Replybullet Posted: May 06 2013 at 8:30am
China reports 2 new H7N9 cases
 
 2013-05-06
 

BEIJING, May 6 (Xinhua) -- The Chinese mainland confirmed another two cases of H7N9 infection last week, bringing the total to 129, according to official statistics released on Monday.

From 4 p.m. on May 1 to 4 p.m. on May 6, two people, both found in southeast China's coastal Fujian Province, were confirmed to have been infected with the new type of bird flu, according to the National Health and Family Planning Commission.

Among the total number of infected persons, 31 have died so far, with 42 recovered.

The commission added that China's confirmed H7N9 cases are isolated and there has been no sign of human-to-human transmission.

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Quote Jen147 Replybullet Posted: May 07 2013 at 3:08pm
H7N9 hits the elderly hardest

2013-05-07

Clinical research has found that nearly 60 percent of the more than 100 people infected with the H7N9 virus are aged 60 or older.

Meanwhile, the number of infected male patients is double that of females, said Zhong Nanshan, head of Guangdong province's expert committee on the prevention and control of H7N9 bird flu.

Seniors, and those with chronic conditions such as hypertension, diabetes, cerebrovascular, chronic obstructive pulmonary and coronary diseases are most easily infected. The gender difference, however, is not statistically significant, according to Zhong in a phone interview on Friday.

The 76-year-old expert in respiratory diseases played a leading role in the fight against Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in 2003.

By Thursday, there were 128 confirmed cases of H7N9 bird flu on the Chinese mainland, resulting in 26 deaths, according to the World Health Organization.

"For now, the best way to prevent H7N9 infection is to avoid contact with live poultry and to stop slaughtering birds in food markets," said Zhong.

He added that medical experts have found no direct evidence to prove that people can avoid H7N9 by wearing masks.

However, for those already infected, the chances of the illness becoming more serious decrease significantly if drugs such as Tamiflu are taken within five days of the viral attack, said Zhong at a meeting of the Guangdong provincial government on Thursday.

Both central and local governments are strengthening the monitoring of live poultry, and culls have been undertaken in areas where carriers were discovered. The measure has been effective in controlling the disease in Shanghai.

By Friday, four "family clusters", where two or three members were infected with the virus, had been reported. Although a number of reasons for this have been put forward, experts cannot completely rule out the possibility of human-to-human transmission, said Zhong.

"In these families, different members were infected with H7N9 at different times. For some families, the time lag is pretty long; for others, pretty short. Therefore, it's possible that they were infected by the same sources, rather than by each other," he said.

Among the 128 confirmed cases, 106 were reported in Shanghai and the provinces of Jiangsu and Zhejiang, including 25 deaths. These areas may have a comparatively high number of poultry carrying the virus, said Zhong, although he ruled out a link with the large number of dead pigs found floating in the Yangtze River in March, because the gene fragments of the H7N9 virus are of avian origin.

"Compared with its response to SARS 10 years ago, the government has taken swifter measures to prevent and control H7N9, and greatly improved the transparency of information. The government has made huge steps in terms of handling live poultry carrying H7N9 by closing the relevant markets, employing early detection and treatment and by centralized treatment of severely infected patients," he said.

http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2013-05/07/content_16480891.htm
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Quote Anisah Replybullet Posted: May 09 2013 at 6:02am

China reports one more bird flu death, toll rises to 32

Reuters

7:14 a.m. CDT, May 9, 2013


BEIJING (Reuters) - China reported one more death from a new strain of bird flu on Thursday, bringing the death toll to 32, with the number of infections staying at 129, the official Xinhua news agency said.

A 56-year-old man died in the central province of Henan, two weeks after his infection was confirmed, Xinhua cited a statement from the local health bureau.

The man had no direct contact with birds, but there were birdcages hanging in the corridor of the building he lived in, the report said.

The Geneva-based World Health Organization (WHO) has said it has no evidence that the new strain of bird flu, first detected in patients in China in March, is easily transmissible between humans.

Chinese scientists have confirmed that the H7N9 strain has been transmitted to humans from chickens. But the WHO has said 40 percent of people infected with H7N9 appear to have had no contact with poultry.

(Reporting by Chen Aizhu; Editing by Nick Macfie)
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Quote Jen147 Replybullet Posted: May 09 2013 at 6:28am
US invokes emergency act to keep H7N9 flu at bay

08 May 2013

THE US government has declared that H7N9 bird flu "poses a significant potential for a public health emergency", and has given "emergency use authorisation" for diagnostic kits for the virus. This means tests can be used that haven't gone through the usual lengthy approval process by the US Food and Drug Administration.

They are right to be concerned. H7N9 could be a tough adversary: New Scientist has learned that it provokes a weaker immune response than most flu, making vaccines hard to produce.

Although H7N9 is not, so far, transmissible between humans, it does cause severe disease in people, is easier to catch than other bird flu strains, and may need only a few mutations to go pandemic. The UK has already given doctors instructions on when to test people for H7N9, and how to manage any with the virus.

The US's emergency authorisation will allow the use of a kit that looks for flu genes using a polymerase chain reaction test, which has been made specific for H7N9. The kit has had preliminary tests but would normally need more exhaustive tests to be approved. Innovative new diagnostics should eventually be authorised too, says Charles Chiu of the University of California in San Francisco.

This kind of fast, high-throughput screening for pandemic flu, possibly at borders, might allow early cases to be treated with antiviral drugs, potentially slowing the spread of the virus while vaccines are made.

The next emergency authorisation is likely to be for immune-stimulating chemicals called adjuvants to put in those vaccines. These were used in vaccines in Europe and Canada during the 2009 pandemic, but adjuvants suitable for flu are not currently approved in the US.

Labs are now making "seed" viruses for manufacturers to create H7N9 vaccine. That process faces the same development delays as in 2009, when vaccine arrived too late for most people.

But there is another problem: H7 flu is poor at stimulating immunity. Virologists at the European Flu Summit in Brussels last week told New Scientist that early results show 13 times more H7N9 virus is needed to elicit a protective immune response than is needed for ordinary flu. That's bad news: the more virus a vaccine requires, the fewer doses that can be grown in a given time.

"H7N9 may be a 'stealth' virus that is able to fly under the immune system's radar," says Anne De Groot of the University of Rhode Island at Providence. That's because its surface protein haemagglutinin doesn't contain many short amino acid sequences – called epitopes – that trigger helper T-cells in the body to stimulate antibody-making cells.

"H7N9 is not very immunogenic, because the epitopes have a very weak signal," says Masato Tashiro, head of flu at Japan's National Institute of Infectious Diseases in Tokyo. People differ genetically in the epitopes their T-cells recognise, and his lab has found that Asian people could be especially vulnerable.

Adjuvants might make vaccines containing less virus more effective, meaning doses can be produced faster. However, children in northern Europe who received adjuvanted flu vaccines in 2009 had slightly higher rates of narcolepsy than normal. Epidemiological studies so far do not show whether the adjuvant was the cause, says Miriam Sturkenboom of Erasmus Medical Center in Rotterdam, the Netherlands. The US is now funding a large study of countries that used adjuvanted vaccines in 2009 to see if they may have caused narcolepsy.

http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg21829164.200-us-invokes-emergency-act-to-keep-h7n9-flu-at-bay.html
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Quote Anisah Replybullet Posted: May 13 2013 at 6:38pm

3 more die of bird flu in China; toll hits 35

Tuesday, 14 May 2013

BEIJING: Three more people have died in China from the new strain of H7N9 bird flu virus, raising the death toll to 35, while the total number of infections rose to 130, state media said yesterday.

Without giving details of the deaths, Xinhua news agency said a new case of the H7N9, described by the World Health Organisation as one of the most lethal flu viruses around, was found in China’s east Jiangxi province.

There has so far been no evidence of human-to-human transmission of the virus, a point reiterated by Xinhua, citing health authorities. It said 57 of those infected have recovered. Chinese scientists say the virus has been transmitted to humans from chickens, though WHO says 40 percent of people infected with H7N9 had no contact with poultry. 

Since it was detected in March, the H7N9 virus has raised alarm and pummelled Chinese demand for poultry. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said the  strain of bird flu cannot start a pandemic but said there is no guarantee it will not mutate and cause a serious pandemic.

Agencies

http://thepeninsulaqatar.com/asia/236991-3-more-die-of-bird-flu-in-china-toll-hits-35.html

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Quote Anisah Replybullet Posted: May 19 2013 at 3:37pm

Death toll from new bird flu in China rises to 36 - WHO

Reuters – Fri, May 17, 2013

LONDON (Reuters) - Four more people in China have died from a new strain of bird flu, bringing the death toll from the H7N9 virus to 36 from 131 confirmed cases, the World Health Organisation (WHO) said on Friday.

The United Nations health agency said the four deaths were from cases that had already been identified in laboratories. Since May 8, there have been no new cases of infection with H7N9, it added.

The WHO reiterated that there is no evidence that the new strain of bird flu, which was first detected in patients in China in March, is passing easily from human to human - a feature that, if it emerged, could spark a pandemic.

It cautioned, however, that until the source of infection has been identified and controlled, there are likely to be further cases of human infection with H7N9.

The WHO said Chinese health authorities were continuing with enhanced surveillance, epidemiological investigations, close contact tracing, clinical management, laboratory testing and sharing of samples as well as prevention and control measures.

It added that in past week as the number of new cases has dwindled, some provinces have begun to scale back emergency operations.

(Reporting by Kate Kelland; Editing by Andrew Heavens)

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Quote Jen147 Replybullet Posted: May 20 2013 at 1:36pm
H7N9 more likely to transmit among humans
 
May 19, 2013
 

A China, World Health Organization (WHO) joint report said the H7N9 bird flu virus has a higher potential for human-to-human transmission than any other known bird flu virus.

The report, compiled after the WHO's week-long field assessment of the influenza, was publicized by China's National Health and Family Planning Commission on Saturday.

It said, the H7N9 virus, compared with other bird flu virus, has infected more in a shorter time, and some H7N9 virus have shown genetic alterations which means they have adapted to be more contagious than other avian influenza virus.

Besides, the WHO offered the Chinese government several suggestions, including staying alert despite the virus' seasonal weakening during the summer, as the virus poses grave hazards and a lot of its basic information are still not known.

The report admitted there are still uncertainties surrounding this fresh strain of virus, asserting that exposure to live poultry is a major risk factor.

The WHO last month sent a joint mission of experts to China to survey areas affected by H7N9 in Shanghai and Beijing for a week-long assessment of the influenza.

From Late March when the first H7N9 case was reported to May 13, the Chinese mainland had reported a total of 130 confirmed H7N9 cases. Thirty-five of these cases ended in death, and 57 patients have recovered and been discharged from the hospital, according to official statistics.

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Quote jacksdad Replybullet Posted: Yesterday at 5:50pm
They admitted some pretty scary things in that report, Jen - working on the assumption that whatever they tell us is a watered down version of what they believe to be the truth, they must be really worried.
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Quote Jen147 Replybullet Posted: Yesterday at 8:11pm
working on the assumption that whatever they tell us is a watered down version of what they believe to be the truth
 
 
It's indeed troubling.
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Quote Annie Replybullet Posted: Today at 6:36am
Originally posted by Jen147

H7N9 more likely to transmit among humans,  
May 19, 2013, A China, World Health Organization (WHO) joint report said the H7N9 bird flu virus has a higher potential for human-to-human transmission than any other known bird flu virus. 
...infected more in a shorter time, and some H7N9 virus have shown genetic alterations which means they have adapted to be more contagious than other avian influenza virus.
...staying alert ...the virus poses grave hazards and a lot of its basic information are still not known.

The report admitted there are still uncertainties surrounding this fresh strain of virus, asserting that exposure to live poultry is a major risk factor.  ...From Late March when the first H7N9 case was reported to May 13, the Chinese mainland had reported a total of 130 confirmed H7N9 cases. Thirty-five of these cases ended in death, and 57 patients have recovered...

FOLKS, that is only TWO months!  Since early "Bird Flu days" I have since had eight free range laying hens and have hatched some chicks for others, would you keep YOUR chickens if you had them?  At this time I am keeping mine, but I will wear a facemask cleaning their night roosting/nesting house.  What do you think about this latest development?  I miss our article and strong opinion discussions.  Stern Smile
Stop the anxiety, get prepared for disasters that can strike your area.
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